Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 3.901373 4.180296 4.478183 4.821517 5.208233 5.632617 6.136707
2025-07-06 3.410615 3.789091 4.217744 4.744883 5.383830 6.144292 7.135379
2025-07-13 3.125140 3.556178 4.064108 4.717835 5.554031 6.613483 8.103004
2025-07-20 2.968985 3.445634 4.026168 4.803099 5.845510 7.244855 9.362946
2025-07-27 2.852774 3.366346 4.009787 4.900964 6.149518 7.919229 10.800600
2025-08-03 2.720386 3.252234 3.933642 4.903928 6.312977 8.405509 12.043272
2025-08-10 2.574987 3.109119 3.805304 4.818328 6.332160 8.667971 12.962560
2025-08-17 2.434728 2.963104 3.661330 4.695353 6.277560 8.799171 13.668471
2025-08-24 2.329230 2.856905 3.563790 4.629283 6.299458 9.052549 14.657458
2025-08-31 2.269815 2.809118 3.543088 4.672550 6.494701 9.624712 16.440152
2025-09-07 2.206169 2.751542 3.504014 4.683207 6.635204 10.117532 18.204747
2025-09-14 2.101117 2.631275 3.368108 4.534131 6.491556 10.057604 18.650885
2025-09-21 2.014907 2.536465 3.268108 4.440530 6.444782 10.198464 19.708319
2025-09-28 1.940768 2.455939 3.185426 4.369415 6.431681 10.407662 21.043411
2025-10-05 1.884918 2.399002 3.134517 4.345378 6.499448 10.793348 23.051376
2025-10-12 1.858636 2.383253 3.144037 4.420209 6.755632 11.629667 26.918273
2025-10-19 1.836628 2.372427 3.159907 4.506002 7.041827 12.596785 31.972548
2025-10-26 1.796375 2.332787 3.128864 4.508598 7.164548 13.202611 36.168424
2025-11-02 1.740976 2.268475 3.056181 4.433567 7.122418 13.387262 38.692111
2025-11-09 1.681383 2.195968 2.967713 4.325602 7.002769 13.351046 40.160911
2025-11-16 1.635962 2.143445 2.909013 4.267512 6.982601 13.580571 43.296630
2025-11-23 1.613600 2.125054 2.903995 4.305560 7.170618 14.427820 51.111193
2025-11-30 1.586415 2.098289 2.884144 4.314928 7.297041 15.132267 59.325097